SAGE made – and continues to make – two fatal errors in its assessment of the SAR-Co. V-2 pandemic, rendering its predictions wildly inaccurate, with disastrous results.
The most frequent answer is; there are two main problems with Sage’s working. First, their estimates are 18 days out of date when they arrive. Second, even then, they are inaccurate. The ONS figures, seen as the gold standard, are in red below: pretty far from the Sage range of estimates (in blue).
What we can conclude from this is that Sage is wrong to rely on percentage seroconversion (antibodies) as a reliable guide to the proportion of the population who’ve been infected. This is a truly dreadful error, one that could not have been made but for the inadequate skillsets of the members of Sage. I’m sorry, but I have to say it.
What did Neil Ferguson’s simulation tell Sage?
That same day Neil Ferguson had formally published his simulation of how the UK epidemic would unfold and which suppression measures were needed – Household Quarantine, Place Closure, Case Isolation and Social Distancing ( Report 9 ). The paper must have been circulated within SAGE far earlier than that.
What do you think about Sage Group?
I believe that Sage has been appallingly negligent and its incompetence has cost the lives of thousands of people from avoidable, non-coronavirus causes while simultaneously decimating our economy and today I implore ministers to start listening to a broader scientific view.
Who is Dr Mike Yeadon?
– Mark Twain Dr Mike Yeadon has a degree in biochemistry and toxicology and a research-based Ph. D in respiratory pharmacology. He has spent over 30 years leading new medicines research in some of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, leaving Pfizer in 2011 as Vice President & Chief Scientist for Allergy & Respiratory.
Another frequent query is “What happened to Dr Yeadon After leaving Pfizer?”.
One way to think about this is since leaving Pfizer, Dr Yeadon has founded his own biotech company, Ziarco, which was sold to the worlds biggest drug company, Novartis, in 2017. SAGE made – and continues to make – two fatal errors in its assessment of the SAR-Co. V-2 pandemic, rendering its predictions wildly inaccurate, with disastrous results.